ExecutivePulse
Official Federal Data

Warren County, Virginia

FIPS 51187 · Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV · Population 41,531
9 Sources Updated June 22, 2026
$84,682
Median Income
$80,734 national
3.3%
Unemployment
4% national
$2.6B
GDP
25%
Bachelor's+
35.7% national

Demographics & Population

Census Bureau American Community Survey 2020-2024 · 5-Year Estimates

Household Income

Source: U.S. Census Bureau · American Community Survey 2020-2024 5-Year Estimates
Median Household
$84,682
Per Capita
$40,091
Mean Household
$104,851
Poverty Rate
11.6%
Median Income Comparison
Warren County$84,682
Virginia$93,170
National$80,734

Population Profile

Source: Census Bureau ACS 2020-2024 · Tables B01001, B02001, B03003
65+: 17.2% (7,161 residents) 55-64: 14.9% (6,170 residents) 35-54: 25.3% (10,488 residents) 18-34: 21% (8,742 residents) Under 18: 21.6% (8,970 residents) 40 Median Age
Cohorts
Under 18 · 21.6%
18-34 · 21%
35-54 · 25.3%
55-64 · 14.9%
65+ · 17.2%
Race & Ethnicity
White82.5%
Black or African American5.2%
Asian1.4%
Hispanic or Latino(any race)7.4%
Hispanic or Latino is an ethnic category and overlaps with the race categories above.

Educational Attainment

Source: Census Bureau ACS 2020-2024 · Table B15003 · Population 25+
89.2%
High School+
National: 89.6%
▼ 0.4 pts
25%
Bachelor's+
National: 35.7%
▼ 10.7 pts
9.7%
Graduate+
National: 14.1%
▼ 4.4 pts

Employment Overview

Source: U.S. Census Bureau · American Community Survey 2020-2024 5-Year Estimates
41,531
Population
20,779
Labor Force
Employed
19,761
Unemployment Rate BLS LAUS 2025 annual
3.3% ▲ +0.5 pts YoY
Mean Commute 11 min above national avg
37.8 min
Work From Home vs 15.1% national
12.4%
Key Takeaways
  • Talent gap: Bachelor's-or-higher attainment trails the national average by 10.7 pts, relevant for advanced-services attraction strategy.

Economy & Industry

Bureau of Labor Statistics QCEW · Bureau of Economic Analysis

$2.6B
Gross Domestic Product · 2024
Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis · CAGDP1 Regional GDP

Top Industries by Employment

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics · Quarterly Census of Employment & Wages 2025 Annual
Top industries by employment in Warren County, Virginia, with employment, share of top sectors, and average wage
IndustryEmploymentShare of Top 10Avg Wage
1Retail Trade
1,608 17.1%
$35,748
2Health Care and Social Assistance
1,513 16.1%
$59,836
3Accommodation and Food Services
1,378 14.7%
$25,922
4Manufacturing
1,349 14.4%
$75,563
5Transportation and Warehousing
1,037 11.0%
$61,066
6Educational Services
718 7.6%
$41,755
7Administrative and Support and Waste Management
687 7.3%
$57,677
8Other Services (except Public Administration)
482 5.1%
$42,905
9Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services
364 3.9%
$84,212
10Finance and Insurance
255 2.7%
$71,168
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Key Takeaways
  • Largest sector: Retail Trade employs 1,608 workers (17.1% of tracked sectors), at an average wage of $35,748.
  • Economic scale: Regional GDP of $2.6B (2024).
  • Wage stratification: Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services averages $84,212 while Accommodation and Food Services averages $25,922, a 3.2x spread in the same local economy, with implications for workforce development and talent strategy.
Source: BLS QCEW + BEA Regional GDP.
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Industry Concentration

Location Quotient measures regional specialization vs. national average. LQ > 1.0 = concentrated.

Location Quotient Analysis

Concentrated Industries
Source: BLS QCEW · 3-digit NAICS sub-sector · Location Quotient vs. national employment share
Same source as the Top Industries table above, sub-sector view surfaces the specialization the supersector view masks (e.g., Plastics & Rubber Manufacturing inside the Manufacturing supersector).
Warehousing and Storage
4.12x
652
Support Activities for Transportation
3.64x
248
Plastics and Rubber Products Manufacturing
3.05x
178
Educational Services
2.66x
718
General Merchandise Retailers
2.00x
539
Building Material and Garden Supply Retailers
1.91x
218
Nonmetallic Mineral Product Manufacturing
1.89x
65
Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers
1.65x
281
Personal and Laundry Services
1.63x
214

Cluster Depth

Source: BLS QCEW · Sub-sectors with LQ ≥ 1.5 indicate genuine cluster concentration
Dominant Cluster
Retail Trade Cluster
Coherent grouping of concentrated sub-sectors, signals supply-chain fit for site selectors
1,038
Cluster Employment
2.00x
Peak LQ
Concentrated Sub-Sectors
Warehousing and Storage
4.12x 652
Support Activities for Transportation
3.64x 248
Plastics and Rubber Products Manufacturing
3.05x 178
Educational Services
2.66x 718
General Merchandise Retailers
2.00x 539
Building Material and Garden Supply Retailers
1.91x 218
Nonmetallic Mineral Product Manufacturing
1.89x 65
Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers
1.65x 281
Personal and Laundry Services
1.63x 214

Attraction Opportunities

LQ < 0.5 with ≥ 50 employed, realistic diversification targets. Source: BLS QCEW
0.41x
Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services
364 employed
0.49x
Credit Intermediation and Related Activities
104 employed
Key Takeaways
  • Top specialization: Warehousing and Storage concentrates at 4.12x the national norm, strong concentration that anchors the local economy and supports supply-chain attraction strategy.
  • Cluster depth: 9 sub-sectors register LQ ≥ 1.5, suggesting an interconnected industrial base rather than reliance on a single employer or sector.
  • Attraction whitespace: 7 sub-sectors register LQ < 0.5, candidates for diversification or recruitment depending on labor-market fit.
Source: BLS QCEW sub-sector Location Quotients.
Warren County's Top Sectors by Workforce Share
Each rectangle's area is proportional to that sector's share of total private-sector employment across all NAICS supersectors. Hover for exact employment.
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics QCEW 2025 Annual · Private sector, NAICS supersectors

Housing & Affordability

Census ACS · HUD Fair Market Rents FY2026

Housing Overview

Source: Census Bureau ACS 2020-2024 5-Year Estimates · Tables B25001, B25077, B25064
$348,400
Median Home Value vs 2019
$1,199
Rent/Mo
75.9%
Owner-Occ
10.1%
Vacancy
4.1x
Home Value to Income Ratio
vs. ~4.1x national average

HUD Fair Market Rents

Source: HUD · Fair Market Rents FY2026
Studio
$953/mo
1 Bedroom
$1,002/mo
2 Bedroom
$1,315/mo
3 Bedroom
$1,754/mo
4 Bedroom
$2,206/mo
30% of monthly median household income (~$2,117/mo) · rents above this line are typically considered cost-burdened.
Key Takeaways
  • In line with national: Home value to income ratio of 4.1x sits near the ~4.1x national average; affordability is neither a clear advantage nor a recruitment friction.
  • High home ownership: 75.9% owner-occupied; rental supply may be tight for incoming workers.
  • Elevated vacancy: 10.1% vacancy rate. In resort, rural, and seasonal markets much of this is recreational/seasonal (second homes), not available supply; confirm the vacancy-by-reason split before treating it as a redevelopment opportunity.
  • Affordable rent tiers: 4 of 5 HUD Fair Market Rent bedroom tiers sit below the 30%-of-median-income affordability threshold (~$2,117/mo).
Source: Census ACS housing tables + HUD Fair Market Rents.

Workforce Pipeline

Labor force readiness, commuting, and workforce composition

Labor Market Overview

Source: Census ACS 2020-2024 · Tables B01001, B23025, B08303, B08301
25,400
Working Age (18-64) vs 2019
Mean Commute 11 min above national avg
37.8 min
Work From Home vs 15.1% national
12.4%
Prime-Age Employed (25-54)
77.9%
of prime-age population
Labor force participation rate: 63.8% of working-age population (18-64) 64% Participation
▼ vs 2019

Education & Talent Pipeline

Source: Census ACS 2020-2024 · Table B15003 · College Scorecard
Bachelor's+
25%
HS Diploma+
89.2%
Regional / Statewide Institutions
Total credentials awarded
72,277/yr
Liberty University 25,513/yr
George Mason University 10,335/yr
Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University 10,020/yr
University of Virginia-Main Campus 9,615/yr
Northern Virginia Community College 9,087/yr
Virginia Commonwealth University 7,707/yr

Aging Workforce

Source: Census Bureau ACS · Derived from age & employment tables
24.3%
55-64 of working-age population (18-64)
Elevated retirement risk, above the 20% threshold. Succession planning recommended.

Workforce by Occupation

Source: Census ACS 2020-2024 · Table C24010 · Civilian employed population 16+
Management / Professional
38.7%
Service
15.2%
Sales & Office
19.6%
Construction / Maint.
13.2%
Production / Transport
13.3%
Bars scaled 2× for visual differentiation; percentage labels show actual share of 19,761 employed workers.
Key Takeaways
  • Succession risk is real: 24.3% of working-age residents are 55-64. Plan for retirements over the next decade and pair attraction strategy with talent retention.
  • Talent pipeline: 6 regional institutions feed the workforce; the top three combined produce 45,868 annual credentials.
Source: ACS workforce data and College Scorecard.

AI Insights

AI-assisted analysis, drawn from 9 federal data sources

Sample AI Insight

Warren County shows meaningful potential for warehousing and storage attraction, with a 4.12x concentration and 652 jobs in this sub-sector. Near-term succession risk is elevated, with 24.3% of the working-age population within 10 years of retirement age.

The interconnected base across warehousing and storage, support activities for transportation, and plastics and rubber products manufacturing creates supply-chain attraction leverage rather than single-employer risk, a structural advantage for industrial recruitment.

Industry Shift Analysis

Manufacturing Automation Risk
High
Healthcare Growth Forecast
+4.2% CAGR
Remote Work Migration
67/100

Prospect Match Scores

Advanced Manufacturing
92/100
Life Sciences
84/100
Data Centers
71/100
Illustrative example

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Data Sources

Updated from official federal government data.

Census ACS 5-Year2024
BLS QCEW2025 annual
BLS LAUS (via FRED)2025 annual
BEA Regional GDP2024
Census CBP2023
HUD Fair Market RentsFY2026
FCC Broadband Map2024
USAspending.govFY2026
College ScorecardAY 2022-23

Frequently Asked Questions

Key economic and demographic figures for Warren County, Virginia, from federal data sources.

What is the population of Warren County, Virginia?

41,531 (U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-Year Estimates).

What is the median household income in Warren County, Virginia?

$84,682 (U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-Year Estimates).

What is the unemployment rate in Warren County, Virginia?

3.3% (2025 annual average, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS).

What is the GDP of Warren County, Virginia?

$2.6B (U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, CAGDP1).