ExecutivePulse
Official Federal Data

Middlesex County, Virginia

FIPS 51119 · Population 10,847
9 Sources Updated June 22, 2026
$75,060
Median Income
$80,734 national
3.3%
Unemployment
4% national
$523M
GDP
33.8%
Bachelor's+
35.7% national
Small population: 10,847 residents. These figures come from the U.S. Census Bureau’s American Community Survey 5-year estimates, which carry a wide margin of error for places under 20,000 people. Read each value as an approximate range, and treat year-over-year changes as indicative rather than exact. A small shift can reflect survey sampling, not a real change on the ground.

Demographics & Population

Census Bureau American Community Survey 2020-2024 · 5-Year Estimates

Household Income

Source: U.S. Census Bureau · American Community Survey 2020-2024 5-Year Estimates
Median Household
$75,060
Per Capita
$41,083
Mean Household
$92,353
Poverty Rate
7.3% approx.
Median Income Comparison
Middlesex County$75,060
Virginia$93,170
National$80,734

Population Profile

Source: Census Bureau ACS 2020-2024 · Tables B01001, B02001, B03003
65+: 34.1% (3,704 residents) 55-64: 16.6% (1,796 residents) 35-54: 17.9% (1,942 residents) 18-34: 15.3% (1,665 residents) Under 18: 16% (1,740 residents) 56 Median Age
Cohorts
Under 18 · 16%
18-34 · 15.3%
35-54 · 17.9%
55-64 · 16.6%
65+ · 34.1%
Race & Ethnicity
White78.9%
Black or African American16.1%
Asian0.4%
Hispanic or Latino(any race)3.2%
Hispanic or Latino is an ethnic category and overlaps with the race categories above.

Educational Attainment

Source: Census Bureau ACS 2020-2024 · Table B15003 · Population 25+
91.3%
High School+
National: 89.6%
▲ +1.7 pts
33.8%
Bachelor's+
National: 35.7%
▼ 1.9 pts
11.3%
Graduate+
National: 14.1%
▼ 2.8 pts

Employment Overview

Source: U.S. Census Bureau · American Community Survey 2020-2024 5-Year Estimates
10,847
Population
4,582
Labor Force
Employed
4,450
Unemployment Rate BLS LAUS 2025 annual
3.3% ▲ +0.3 pts YoY
Mean Commute 8 min above national avg
34.0 min
Work From Home vs 15.1% national
22.7%
Key Takeaways
  • Aging population: Median age of 56 is materially above the U.S. norm; succession planning and senior-services demand are real factors.

Economy & Industry

Bureau of Labor Statistics QCEW · Bureau of Economic Analysis

$523M
Gross Domestic Product · 2024
Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis · CAGDP1 Regional GDP

Top Industries by Employment

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics · Quarterly Census of Employment & Wages 2025 Annual
Top industries by employment in Middlesex County, Virginia, with employment, share of top sectors, and average wage
IndustryEmploymentShare of Top 10Avg Wage
1Retail Trade
329 20.8%
$33,420
2Accommodation and Food Services
329 20.8%
$28,427
3Construction
229 14.5%
$60,350
4Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
139 8.8%
$34,494
5Manufacturing
131 8.3%
$55,340
6Other Services (except Public Administration)
121 7.6%
$37,954
7Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services
94 5.9%
$80,419
8Transportation and Warehousing
88 5.6%
$78,480
9Wholesale Trade
70 4.4%
$62,359
10Finance and Insurance
53 3.3%
$88,556
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Key Takeaways
  • Largest sector: Retail Trade employs 329 workers (20.8% of tracked sectors), at an average wage of $33,420.
  • Economic scale: Regional GDP of $523M (2024).
  • Wage stratification: Finance and Insurance averages $88,556 while Accommodation and Food Services averages $28,427, a 3.1x spread in the same local economy, with implications for workforce development and talent strategy.
Source: BLS QCEW + BEA Regional GDP.
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Industry Concentration

Location Quotient measures regional specialization vs. national average. LQ > 1.0 = concentrated.

Location Quotient Analysis

Concentrated Industries
Source: BLS QCEW · 3-digit NAICS sub-sector · Location Quotient vs. national employment share
Same source as the Top Industries table above, sub-sector view surfaces the specialization the supersector view masks (e.g., Plastics & Rubber Manufacturing inside the Manufacturing supersector).
Water Transportation
20.45x
29
Amusement, Gambling, and Recreation Industries
3.19x
126
Building Material and Garden Supply Retailers
2.96x
84
2.75x
13
Support Activities for Agriculture and Forestry
2.68x
21
Heavy and Civil Engineering Construction
2.08x
51
Repair and Maintenance
1.99x
60
Gasoline Stations and Fuel Dealers
1.85x
40
Accommodation
1.69x
67
Truck Transportation
1.67x
51

Cluster Depth

Source: BLS QCEW · Sub-sectors with LQ ≥ 1.5 indicate genuine cluster concentration
Dominant Cluster
Arts, Entertainment & Recreation Cluster
Coherent grouping of concentrated sub-sectors, signals supply-chain fit for site selectors
126
Cluster Employment
3.19x
Peak LQ
Concentrated Sub-Sectors
Water Transportation
20.45x 29
Amusement, Gambling, and Recreation Industries
3.19x 126
Building Material and Garden Supply Retailers
2.96x 84
2.75x 13
Support Activities for Agriculture and Forestry
2.68x 21
Heavy and Civil Engineering Construction
2.08x 51
Repair and Maintenance
1.99x 60
Gasoline Stations and Fuel Dealers
1.85x 40
Accommodation
1.69x 67
Truck Transportation
1.67x 51

Attraction Opportunities

LQ < 0.5 with ≥ 50 employed, realistic diversification targets. Source: BLS QCEW
0.42x
Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services
94 employed
0.43x
Ambulatory Health Care Services
80 employed
Key Takeaways
  • Top specialization: Water Transportation concentrates at 20.45x the national norm, top-decile concentration, the kind of signature sector that defines a region's economic identity to site selectors.
  • Cluster depth: 10 sub-sectors register LQ ≥ 1.5, suggesting an interconnected industrial base rather than reliance on a single employer or sector.
  • Attraction whitespace: 3 sub-sectors register LQ < 0.5, candidates for diversification or recruitment depending on labor-market fit.
Source: BLS QCEW sub-sector Location Quotients.
Middlesex County's Top Sectors by Workforce Share
Each rectangle's area is proportional to that sector's share of total private-sector employment across all NAICS supersectors. Hover for exact employment.
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics QCEW 2025 Annual · Private sector, NAICS supersectors

Housing & Affordability

Census ACS · HUD Fair Market Rents FY2026

Housing Overview

Source: Census Bureau ACS 2020-2024 5-Year Estimates · Tables B25001, B25077, B25064
$352,200
Median Home Value vs 2019
$1,059
Rent/Mo
87.4%
Owner-Occ
33.3%
Vacancy
4.7x
Home Value to Income Ratio
vs. ~4.1x national average

HUD Fair Market Rents

Source: HUD · Fair Market Rents FY2026
Studio
$1,052/mo
1 Bedroom
$1,058/mo
2 Bedroom
$1,291/mo
3 Bedroom
$1,548/mo
4 Bedroom
$2,018/mo
30% of monthly median household income (~$1,876/mo) · rents above this line are typically considered cost-burdened.
Key Takeaways
  • In line with national: Home value to income ratio of 4.7x sits near the ~4.1x national average; affordability is neither a clear advantage nor a recruitment friction.
  • High home ownership: 87.4% owner-occupied; rental supply may be tight for incoming workers.
  • Elevated vacancy: 33.3% vacancy rate. In resort, rural, and seasonal markets much of this is recreational/seasonal (second homes), not available supply; confirm the vacancy-by-reason split before treating it as a redevelopment opportunity.
  • Affordable rent tiers: 4 of 5 HUD Fair Market Rent bedroom tiers sit below the 30%-of-median-income affordability threshold (~$1,876/mo).
Source: Census ACS housing tables + HUD Fair Market Rents.

Workforce Pipeline

Labor force readiness, commuting, and workforce composition

Labor Market Overview

Source: Census ACS 2020-2024 · Tables B01001, B23025, B08303, B08301
5,403
Working Age (18-64) vs 2019
Mean Commute 8 min above national avg
34.0 min
Work From Home vs 15.1% national
22.7%
Prime-Age Employed (25-54)
72.4%
of prime-age population
Labor force participation rate: 50.3% of working-age population (18-64) 50% Participation
▼ vs 2019

Education & Talent Pipeline

Source: Census ACS 2020-2024 · Table B15003 · College Scorecard
Bachelor's+
33.8%
HS Diploma+
91.3%
Regional / Statewide Institutions
Total credentials awarded
72,277/yr
Liberty University 25,513/yr
George Mason University 10,335/yr
Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University 10,020/yr
University of Virginia-Main Campus 9,615/yr
Northern Virginia Community College 9,087/yr
Virginia Commonwealth University 7,707/yr

Aging Workforce

Source: Census Bureau ACS · Derived from age & employment tables
33.2%
55-64 of working-age population (18-64)
Elevated retirement risk, above the 20% threshold. Succession planning recommended.

Workforce by Occupation

Source: Census ACS 2020-2024 · Table C24010 · Civilian employed population 16+
Management / Professional
37.8%
Service
16.6%
Sales & Office
20.1%
Construction / Maint.
14.1%
Production / Transport
11.5%
Bars scaled 2× for visual differentiation; percentage labels show actual share of 4,450 employed workers.
Key Takeaways
  • Succession risk is real: 33.2% of working-age residents are 55-64. Plan for retirements over the next decade and pair attraction strategy with talent retention.
  • Low participation: 50.3% labor force participation suggests untapped capacity; workforce development programs may unlock supply.
  • Talent pipeline: 6 regional institutions feed the workforce; the top three combined produce 45,868 annual credentials.
Source: ACS workforce data and College Scorecard.

AI Insights

AI-assisted analysis, drawn from 9 federal data sources

Sample AI Insight

Middlesex County shows strong potential for water transportation attraction, with a 20.45x concentration and 29 jobs in this sub-sector. It ranks in the top decile nationally. Near-term succession risk is elevated, with 33.2% of the working-age population within 10 years of retirement age.

The interconnected base across water transportation, amusement, gambling, and recreation industries, and building material and garden supply retailers creates supply-chain attraction leverage rather than single-employer risk, a structural advantage for industrial recruitment.

Industry Shift Analysis

Manufacturing Automation Risk
High
Healthcare Growth Forecast
+4.2% CAGR
Remote Work Migration
67/100

Prospect Match Scores

Advanced Manufacturing
92/100
Life Sciences
84/100
Data Centers
71/100
Illustrative example

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Data Sources

Updated from official federal government data.

Census ACS 5-Year2024
BLS QCEW2025 annual
BLS LAUS (via FRED)2025 annual
BEA Regional GDP2024
Census CBP2023
HUD Fair Market RentsFY2026
FCC Broadband Map2024
USAspending.govFY2026
College ScorecardAY 2022-23

Frequently Asked Questions

Key economic and demographic figures for Middlesex County, Virginia, from federal data sources.

What is the population of Middlesex County, Virginia?

10,847 (U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-Year Estimates).

What is the median household income in Middlesex County, Virginia?

$75,060 (U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-Year Estimates).

What is the unemployment rate in Middlesex County, Virginia?

3.3% (2025 annual average, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS).

What is the GDP of Middlesex County, Virginia?

$523M (U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, CAGDP1).