ExecutivePulse
Official Federal Data

Warren County, Missouri

FIPS 29219 · St. Louis, MO-IL · Population 37,177
9 Sources Updated June 22, 2026
$81,209
Median Income
$80,734 national
3.7%
Unemployment
4% national
$1.2B
GDP
20.2%
Bachelor's+
35.7% national

Demographics & Population

Census Bureau American Community Survey 2020-2024 · 5-Year Estimates

Household Income

Source: U.S. Census Bureau · American Community Survey 2020-2024 5-Year Estimates
Median Household
$81,209
Per Capita
$37,271
Mean Household
$99,746
Poverty Rate
8%
Median Income Comparison
Warren County$81,209
Missouri$70,702
National$80,734

Population Profile

Source: Census Bureau ACS 2020-2024 · Tables B01001, B02001, B03003
65+: 18.2% (6,777 residents) 55-64: 15% (5,580 residents) 35-54: 23.9% (8,893 residents) 18-34: 19.7% (7,332 residents) Under 18: 23.1% (8,595 residents) 41 Median Age
Cohorts
Under 18 · 23.1%
18-34 · 19.7%
35-54 · 23.9%
55-64 · 15%
65+ · 18.2%
Race & Ethnicity
White89.9%
Black or African American1.1%
Asian0.4%
Hispanic or Latino(any race)4.1%
Hispanic or Latino is an ethnic category and overlaps with the race categories above.

Educational Attainment

Source: Census Bureau ACS 2020-2024 · Table B15003 · Population 25+
90.5%
High School+
National: 89.6%
▲ +0.9 pts
20.2%
Bachelor's+
National: 35.7%
▼ 15.5 pts
5.7%
Graduate+
National: 14.1%
▼ 8.4 pts

Employment Overview

Source: U.S. Census Bureau · American Community Survey 2020-2024 5-Year Estimates
37,177
Population
18,633
Labor Force
Employed
17,943
Unemployment Rate BLS LAUS 2025 annual
3.7% ▲ +0.2 pts YoY
Mean Commute 5 min above national avg
31.6 min
Work From Home vs 15.1% national
9%
Key Takeaways
  • Talent gap: Bachelor's-or-higher attainment trails the national average by 15.5 pts, relevant for advanced-services attraction strategy.

Economy & Industry

Bureau of Labor Statistics QCEW · Bureau of Economic Analysis

$1.2B
Gross Domestic Product · 2024
Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis · CAGDP1 Regional GDP

Top Industries by Employment

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics · Quarterly Census of Employment & Wages 2025 Annual
Top industries by employment in Warren County, Missouri, with employment, share of top sectors, and average wage
IndustryEmploymentShare of Top 10Avg Wage
1Manufacturing
2,045 29.4%
$63,747
2Construction
1,019 14.7%
$63,166
3Retail Trade
969 13.9%
$34,226
4Accommodation and Food Services
813 11.7%
$23,496
5Health Care and Social Assistance
730 10.5%
$45,688
6Transportation and Warehousing
534 7.7%
$52,142
7Finance and Insurance
251 3.6%
$66,982
8Administrative and Support and Waste Management
244 3.5%
$43,131
9Other Services (except Public Administration)
210 3.0%
$42,552
10Information
140 2.0%
$80,287
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Key Takeaways
  • Largest sector: Manufacturing employs 2,045 workers (29.4% of tracked sectors), at an average wage of $63,747.
  • Economic scale: Regional GDP of $1.2B (2024).
  • Wage stratification: Information averages $80,287 while Accommodation and Food Services averages $23,496, a 3.4x spread in the same local economy, with implications for workforce development and talent strategy.
Source: BLS QCEW + BEA Regional GDP.
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Industry Concentration

Location Quotient measures regional specialization vs. national average. LQ > 1.0 = concentrated.

Location Quotient Analysis

Concentrated Industries
Source: BLS QCEW · 3-digit NAICS sub-sector · Location Quotient vs. national employment share
Same source as the Top Industries table above, sub-sector view surfaces the specialization the supersector view masks (e.g., Plastics & Rubber Manufacturing inside the Manufacturing supersector).
Beverage and Tobacco Product Manufacturing
16.02x
304
Nonmetallic Mineral Product Manufacturing
11.62x
278
Furniture and Related Product Manufacturing
4.77x
92
Heavy and Civil Engineering Construction
3.72x
255
Transportation Equipment Manufacturing
3.05x
306
2.39x
3,122
Truck Transportation
2.25x
192
Gasoline Stations and Fuel Dealers
2.15x
130
Specialty Trade Contractors
1.93x
582
Machinery Manufacturing
1.86x
117

Cluster Depth

Source: BLS QCEW · Sub-sectors with LQ ≥ 1.5 indicate genuine cluster concentration
Dominant Cluster
Goods-Producing Cluster
Coherent grouping of concentrated sub-sectors, signals supply-chain fit for site selectors
3,122
Cluster Employment
2.39x
Peak LQ
Concentrated Sub-Sectors
Beverage and Tobacco Product Manufacturing
16.02x 304
Nonmetallic Mineral Product Manufacturing
11.62x 278
Furniture and Related Product Manufacturing
4.77x 92
Heavy and Civil Engineering Construction
3.72x 255
Transportation Equipment Manufacturing
3.05x 306
2.39x 3,122
Truck Transportation
2.25x 192
Gasoline Stations and Fuel Dealers
2.15x 130
Specialty Trade Contractors
1.93x 582
Machinery Manufacturing
1.86x 117

Attraction Opportunities

LQ < 0.5 with ≥ 50 employed, realistic diversification targets. Source: BLS QCEW
0.46x
Ambulatory Health Care Services
238 employed
0.47x
Accommodation
52 employed
0.48x
Insurance Carriers and Related Activities
72 employed
Key Takeaways
  • Top specialization: Beverage and Tobacco Product Manufacturing concentrates at 16.02x the national norm, top-decile concentration, the kind of signature sector that defines a region's economic identity to site selectors.
  • Cluster depth: 10 sub-sectors register LQ ≥ 1.5, suggesting an interconnected industrial base rather than reliance on a single employer or sector.
  • Attraction whitespace: 8 sub-sectors register LQ < 0.5, candidates for diversification or recruitment depending on labor-market fit.
Source: BLS QCEW sub-sector Location Quotients.
Warren County's Top Sectors by Workforce Share
Each rectangle's area is proportional to that sector's share of total private-sector employment across all NAICS supersectors. Hover for exact employment.
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics QCEW 2025 Annual · Private sector, NAICS supersectors

Housing & Affordability

Census ACS · HUD Fair Market Rents FY2026

Housing Overview

Source: Census Bureau ACS 2020-2024 5-Year Estimates · Tables B25001, B25077, B25064
$260,400
Median Home Value vs 2019
$995
Rent/Mo
80.2%
Owner-Occ
14.3%
Vacancy
3.2x
Home Value to Income Ratio
vs. ~4.1x national average

HUD Fair Market Rents

Source: HUD · Fair Market Rents FY2026
Studio
$955/mo
1 Bedroom
$995/mo
2 Bedroom
$1,218/mo
3 Bedroom
$1,568/mo
4 Bedroom
$1,812/mo
30% of monthly median household income (~$2,030/mo) · rents above this line are typically considered cost-burdened.
Key Takeaways
  • In line with national: Home value to income ratio of 3.2x sits near the ~4.1x national average; affordability is neither a clear advantage nor a recruitment friction.
  • High home ownership: 80.2% owner-occupied; rental supply may be tight for incoming workers.
  • Elevated vacancy: 14.3% vacancy rate. In resort, rural, and seasonal markets much of this is recreational/seasonal (second homes), not available supply; confirm the vacancy-by-reason split before treating it as a redevelopment opportunity.
  • Broadly affordable rents: All 5 HUD Fair Market Rent bedroom tiers sit below the 30%-of-median-income affordability threshold (~$2,030/mo), a clear cost-of-living advantage for workforce attraction.
Source: Census ACS housing tables + HUD Fair Market Rents.

Workforce Pipeline

Labor force readiness, commuting, and workforce composition

Labor Market Overview

Source: Census ACS 2020-2024 · Tables B01001, B23025, B08303, B08301
21,805
Working Age (18-64) vs 2019
Mean Commute 5 min above national avg
31.6 min
Work From Home vs 15.1% national
9%
Prime-Age Employed (25-54)
82.2%
of prime-age population
Labor force participation rate: 65.2% of working-age population (18-64) 65% Participation
▲ vs 2019

Education & Talent Pipeline

Source: Census ACS 2020-2024 · Table B15003 · College Scorecard
Bachelor's+
20.2%
HS Diploma+
90.5%
Regional / Statewide Institutions
Total credentials awarded
31,975/yr
University of Missouri-Columbia 9,503/yr
Washington University in St Louis 6,224/yr
Missouri State University-Springfield 5,730/yr
Metropolitan Community College-Kansas City 3,677/yr
University of Missouri-Kansas City 3,445/yr
Saint Louis University 3,396/yr

Aging Workforce

Source: Census Bureau ACS · Derived from age & employment tables
25.6%
55-64 of working-age population (18-64)
Elevated retirement risk, above the 20% threshold. Succession planning recommended.

Workforce by Occupation

Source: Census ACS 2020-2024 · Table C24010 · Civilian employed population 16+
Management / Professional
33.3%
Service
13.5%
Sales & Office
20%
Construction / Maint.
15.2%
Production / Transport
18%
Bars scaled 2× for visual differentiation; percentage labels show actual share of 17,943 employed workers.
Key Takeaways
  • Succession risk is real: 25.6% of working-age residents are 55-64. Plan for retirements over the next decade and pair attraction strategy with talent retention.
  • Talent pipeline: 6 regional institutions feed the workforce; the top three combined produce 21,457 annual credentials.
Source: ACS workforce data and College Scorecard.

AI Insights

AI-assisted analysis, drawn from 9 federal data sources

Sample AI Insight

Warren County shows strong potential for beverage and tobacco product manufacturing attraction, with a 16.02x concentration and 304 jobs in this sub-sector. It ranks in the top decile nationally. Near-term succession risk is elevated, with 25.6% of the working-age population within 10 years of retirement age.

The interconnected base across beverage and tobacco product manufacturing, nonmetallic mineral product manufacturing, and furniture and related product manufacturing creates supply-chain attraction leverage rather than single-employer risk, a structural advantage for industrial recruitment.

Industry Shift Analysis

Manufacturing Automation Risk
High
Healthcare Growth Forecast
+4.2% CAGR
Remote Work Migration
67/100

Prospect Match Scores

Advanced Manufacturing
92/100
Life Sciences
84/100
Data Centers
71/100
Illustrative example

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Data Sources

Updated from official federal government data.

Census ACS 5-Year2024
BLS QCEW2025 annual
BLS LAUS (via FRED)2025 annual
BEA Regional GDP2024
Census CBP2023
HUD Fair Market RentsFY2026
FCC Broadband Map2024
USAspending.govFY2026
College ScorecardAY 2022-23

Frequently Asked Questions

Key economic and demographic figures for Warren County, Missouri, from federal data sources.

What is the population of Warren County, Missouri?

37,177 (U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-Year Estimates).

What is the median household income in Warren County, Missouri?

$81,209 (U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-Year Estimates).

What is the unemployment rate in Warren County, Missouri?

3.7% (2025 annual average, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS).

What is the GDP of Warren County, Missouri?

$1.2B (U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, CAGDP1).