ExecutivePulse
Official Federal Data

Clay County, Arkansas

FIPS 05021 · Population 14,280
9 Sources Updated June 22, 2026
$51,481
Median Income
$80,734 national
4.4%
Unemployment
4% national
$476M
GDP
15.3%
Bachelor's+
35.7% national
Small population: 14,280 residents. These figures come from the U.S. Census Bureau’s American Community Survey 5-year estimates, which carry a wide margin of error for places under 20,000 people. Read each value as an approximate range, and treat year-over-year changes as indicative rather than exact. A small shift can reflect survey sampling, not a real change on the ground.

Demographics & Population

Census Bureau American Community Survey 2020-2024 · 5-Year Estimates

Household Income

Source: U.S. Census Bureau · American Community Survey 2020-2024 5-Year Estimates
Median Household
$51,481
Per Capita
$27,594
Mean Household
$64,802
Poverty Rate
17.2% approx.
Median Income Comparison
Clay County$51,481
Arkansas$60,773
National$80,734

Population Profile

Source: Census Bureau ACS 2020-2024 · Tables B01001, B02001, B03003
65+: 21.8% (3,112 residents) 55-64: 13.9% (1,984 residents) 35-54: 23% (3,288 residents) 18-34: 19.8% (2,829 residents) Under 18: 21.5% (3,067 residents) 43 Median Age
Cohorts
Under 18 · 21.5%
18-34 · 19.8%
35-54 · 23%
55-64 · 13.9%
65+ · 21.8%
Race & Ethnicity
White93.5%
Black or African American0.1%
Asian0%
Hispanic or Latino(any race)1.1%
Hispanic or Latino is an ethnic category and overlaps with the race categories above.

Educational Attainment

Source: Census Bureau ACS 2020-2024 · Table B15003 · Population 25+
87.6%
High School+
National: 89.6%
▼ 2.0 pts
15.3%
Bachelor's+
National: 35.7%
▼ 20.4 pts
5.5%
Graduate+
National: 14.1%
▼ 8.6 pts

Employment Overview

Source: U.S. Census Bureau · American Community Survey 2020-2024 5-Year Estimates
14,280
Population
6,556
Labor Force
Employed
6,143
Unemployment Rate BLS LAUS 2025 annual
4.4% ▲ +0.7 pts YoY
Mean Commute 3 min below national avg
23.3 min
Work From Home vs 15.1% national
6%
Key Takeaways
  • Income gap: Households earn meaningfully less than the national median, which directly affects retail demand, housing absorption, and tax base.
  • Elevated poverty: At 17.2%, the rate is in economically distressed territory and supports federal funding narratives (CDFI, NMTC, EDA).
  • Talent gap: Bachelor's-or-higher attainment trails the national average by 20.4 pts, relevant for advanced-services attraction strategy.
  • Aging population: Median age of 43 is materially above the U.S. norm; succession planning and senior-services demand are real factors.

Economy & Industry

Bureau of Labor Statistics QCEW · Bureau of Economic Analysis

$476M
Gross Domestic Product · 2024
Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis · CAGDP1 Regional GDP

Top Industries by Employment

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics · Quarterly Census of Employment & Wages 2025 Annual
Top industries by employment in Clay County, Arkansas, with employment, share of top sectors, and average wage
IndustryEmploymentShare of Top 10Avg Wage
1Health Care and Social Assistance
444 25.1%
$41,978
2Retail Trade
346 19.6%
$35,785
3Wholesale Trade
260 14.7%
$46,894
4Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting
221 12.5%
$49,992
5Construction
143 8.1%
$43,107
6Manufacturing
128 7.2%
$36,508
7Other Services (except Public Administration)
84 4.8%
$48,912
8Finance and Insurance
73 4.1%
$67,190
9Real Estate and Rental and Leasing
41 2.3%
$22,397
10Information
26 1.5%
$46,436
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Key Takeaways
  • Largest sector: Health Care and Social Assistance employs 444 workers (25.1% of tracked sectors), at an average wage of $41,978.
  • Economic scale: Regional GDP of $476M (2024).
  • Wage stratification: Finance and Insurance averages $67,190 while Real Estate and Rental and Leasing averages $22,397, a 3.0x spread in the same local economy, with implications for workforce development and talent strategy.
Source: BLS QCEW + BEA Regional GDP.
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Industry Concentration

Location Quotient measures regional specialization vs. national average. LQ > 1.0 = concentrated.

Location Quotient Analysis

Concentrated Industries
Source: BLS QCEW · 3-digit NAICS sub-sector · Location Quotient vs. national employment share
Same source as the Top Industries table above, sub-sector view surfaces the specialization the supersector view masks (e.g., Plastics & Rubber Manufacturing inside the Manufacturing supersector).
Crop Production
15.60x
160
Wood Product Manufacturing
7.31x
57
Merchant Wholesalers, Nondurable Goods
3.78x
161
Gasoline Stations and Fuel Dealers
2.80x
57
Nursing and Residential Care Facilities
2.39x
159
Health and Personal Care Retailers
2.24x
46
Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers
2.14x
85
Repair and Maintenance
1.91x
54

Cluster Depth

Source: BLS QCEW · Sub-sectors with LQ ≥ 1.5 indicate genuine cluster concentration
Dominant Cluster
Retail Trade Cluster
Coherent grouping of concentrated sub-sectors, signals supply-chain fit for site selectors
188
Cluster Employment
2.80x
Peak LQ
Concentrated Sub-Sectors
Crop Production
15.60x 160
Wood Product Manufacturing
7.31x 57
Merchant Wholesalers, Nondurable Goods
3.78x 161
Gasoline Stations and Fuel Dealers
2.80x 57
Nursing and Residential Care Facilities
2.39x 159
Health and Personal Care Retailers
2.24x 46
Motor Vehicle and Parts Dealers
2.14x 85
Repair and Maintenance
1.91x 54

Attraction Opportunities

LQ < 0.5 with ≥ 50 employed, realistic diversification targets. Source: BLS QCEW
Key Takeaways
  • Top specialization: Crop Production concentrates at 15.60x the national norm, top-decile concentration, the kind of signature sector that defines a region's economic identity to site selectors.
  • Cluster depth: 8 sub-sectors register LQ ≥ 1.5, suggesting an interconnected industrial base rather than reliance on a single employer or sector.
Source: BLS QCEW sub-sector Location Quotients.
Clay County's Top Sectors by Workforce Share
Each rectangle's area is proportional to that sector's share of total private-sector employment across all NAICS supersectors. Hover for exact employment.
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics QCEW 2025 Annual · Private sector, NAICS supersectors

Housing & Affordability

Census ACS · HUD Fair Market Rents FY2026

Housing Overview

Source: Census Bureau ACS 2020-2024 5-Year Estimates · Tables B25001, B25077, B25064
$94,600
Median Home Value vs 2019
$707
Rent/Mo
74.7%
Owner-Occ
19.6%
Vacancy
1.8x
Home Value to Income Ratio - Affordable
vs. ~4.1x national average

HUD Fair Market Rents

Source: HUD · Fair Market Rents FY2026
Studio
$658/mo
1 Bedroom
$671/mo
2 Bedroom
$880/mo
3 Bedroom
$1,191/mo
4 Bedroom
$1,240/mo
30% of monthly median household income (~$1,287/mo) · rents above this line are typically considered cost-burdened.
Key Takeaways
  • Affordable market: Home value to income ratio of 1.8x is well below the ~4.1x national average; supports talent attraction and family settlement narratives.
  • High home ownership: 74.7% owner-occupied; rental supply may be tight for incoming workers.
  • Elevated vacancy: 19.6% vacancy rate. In resort, rural, and seasonal markets much of this is recreational/seasonal (second homes), not available supply; confirm the vacancy-by-reason split before treating it as a redevelopment opportunity.
  • Broadly affordable rents: All 5 HUD Fair Market Rent bedroom tiers sit below the 30%-of-median-income affordability threshold (~$1,287/mo), a clear cost-of-living advantage for workforce attraction.
Source: Census ACS housing tables + HUD Fair Market Rents.

Workforce Pipeline

Labor force readiness, commuting, and workforce composition

Labor Market Overview

Source: Census ACS 2020-2024 · Tables B01001, B23025, B08303, B08301
8,101
Working Age (18-64) vs 2019
Mean Commute 3 min below national avg
23.3 min
Work From Home vs 15.1% national
6%
Prime-Age Employed (25-54)
77.1%
of prime-age population
Labor force participation rate: 58.5% of working-age population (18-64) 58% Participation
▲ vs 2019

Education & Talent Pipeline

Source: Census ACS 2020-2024 · Table B15003 · College Scorecard
Bachelor's+
15.3%
HS Diploma+
87.6%
Regional / Statewide Institutions
Total credentials awarded
23,161/yr
University of Arkansas 7,274/yr
Arkansas State University 5,133/yr
Arkansas Tech University 3,923/yr
University of Central Arkansas 2,507/yr
University of Arkansas at Little Rock 2,279/yr
NorthWest Arkansas Community College 2,045/yr

Aging Workforce

Source: Census Bureau ACS · Derived from age & employment tables
24.5%
55-64 of working-age population (18-64)
Elevated retirement risk, above the 20% threshold. Succession planning recommended.

Workforce by Occupation

Source: Census ACS 2020-2024 · Table C24010 · Civilian employed population 16+
Management / Professional
31.9%
Service
13.6%
Sales & Office
18.8%
Construction / Maint.
10.5%
Production / Transport
25.2%
Bars scaled 2× for visual differentiation; percentage labels show actual share of 6,143 employed workers.
Key Takeaways
  • Succession risk is real: 24.5% of working-age residents are 55-64. Plan for retirements over the next decade and pair attraction strategy with talent retention.
  • Low participation: 58.5% labor force participation suggests untapped capacity; workforce development programs may unlock supply.
  • Talent pipeline: 6 regional institutions feed the workforce; the top three combined produce 16,330 annual credentials.
Source: ACS workforce data and College Scorecard.

AI Insights

AI-assisted analysis, drawn from 9 federal data sources

Sample AI Insight

Clay County shows strong potential for crop production attraction, with a 15.60x concentration and 160 jobs in this sub-sector. It ranks in the top decile nationally. Near-term succession risk is elevated, with 24.5% of the working-age population within 10 years of retirement age.

The interconnected base across crop production, wood product manufacturing, and merchant wholesalers, nondurable goods creates supply-chain attraction leverage rather than single-employer risk, a structural advantage for industrial recruitment.

Industry Shift Analysis

Manufacturing Automation Risk
High
Healthcare Growth Forecast
+4.2% CAGR
Remote Work Migration
67/100

Prospect Match Scores

Advanced Manufacturing
92/100
Life Sciences
84/100
Data Centers
71/100
Illustrative example

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Data Sources

Updated from official federal government data.

Census ACS 5-Year2024
BLS QCEW2025 annual
BLS LAUS (via FRED)2025 annual
BEA Regional GDP2024
Census CBP2023
HUD Fair Market RentsFY2026
FCC Broadband Map2024
USAspending.govFY2026
College ScorecardAY 2022-23

Frequently Asked Questions

Key economic and demographic figures for Clay County, Arkansas, from federal data sources.

What is the population of Clay County, Arkansas?

14,280 (U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-Year Estimates).

What is the median household income in Clay County, Arkansas?

$51,481 (U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-Year Estimates).

What is the unemployment rate in Clay County, Arkansas?

4.4% (2025 annual average, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS).

What is the GDP of Clay County, Arkansas?

$476M (U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, CAGDP1).