ExecutivePulse
Official Federal Data

Carroll County, Tennessee

FIPS 47017 · Population 28,641
9 Sources Updated June 22, 2026
$51,787
Median Income
$80,734 national
4.2%
Unemployment
4% national
$949M
GDP
18.1%
Bachelor's+
35.7% national

Demographics & Population

Census Bureau American Community Survey 2020-2024 · 5-Year Estimates

Household Income

Source: U.S. Census Bureau · American Community Survey 2020-2024 5-Year Estimates
Median Household
$51,787
Per Capita
$27,343
Mean Household
$67,399
Poverty Rate
17%
Median Income Comparison
Carroll County$51,787
Tennessee$69,595
National$80,734

Population Profile

Source: Census Bureau ACS 2020-2024 · Tables B01001, B02001, B03003
65+: 20.2% (5,778 residents) 55-64: 13.7% (3,924 residents) 35-54: 22.7% (6,502 residents) 18-34: 21.3% (6,112 residents) Under 18: 22.1% (6,325 residents) 41 Median Age
Cohorts
Under 18 · 22.1%
18-34 · 21.3%
35-54 · 22.7%
55-64 · 13.7%
65+ · 20.2%
Race & Ethnicity
White84.5%
Black or African American8.4%
Asian0.3%
Hispanic or Latino(any race)3.1%
Hispanic or Latino is an ethnic category and overlaps with the race categories above.

Educational Attainment

Source: Census Bureau ACS 2020-2024 · Table B15003 · Population 25+
89.2%
High School+
National: 89.6%
▼ 0.4 pts
18.1%
Bachelor's+
National: 35.7%
▼ 17.6 pts
7.4%
Graduate+
National: 14.1%
▼ 6.7 pts

Employment Overview

Source: U.S. Census Bureau · American Community Survey 2020-2024 5-Year Estimates
28,641
Population
12,304
Labor Force
Employed
11,725
Unemployment Rate BLS LAUS 2025 annual
4.2% ▲ +0.3 pts YoY
Mean Commute
26.2 min
Work From Home vs 15.1% national
5.9%
Key Takeaways
  • Income gap: Households earn meaningfully less than the national median, which directly affects retail demand, housing absorption, and tax base.
  • Elevated poverty: At 17%, the rate is in economically distressed territory and supports federal funding narratives (CDFI, NMTC, EDA).
  • Talent gap: Bachelor's-or-higher attainment trails the national average by 17.6 pts, relevant for advanced-services attraction strategy.

Economy & Industry

Bureau of Labor Statistics QCEW · Bureau of Economic Analysis

$949M
Gross Domestic Product · 2024
Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis · CAGDP1 Regional GDP

Top Industries by Employment

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics · Quarterly Census of Employment & Wages 2025 Annual
Top industries by employment in Carroll County, Tennessee, with employment, share of top sectors, and average wage
IndustryEmploymentShare of Top 10Avg Wage
1Manufacturing
1,204 32.0%
$89,636
2Retail Trade
876 23.3%
$29,488
3Accommodation and Food Services
734 19.5%
$16,003
4Finance and Insurance
242 6.4%
$78,923
5Wholesale Trade
146 3.9%
$74,538
6Administrative and Support and Waste Management
146 3.9%
$44,492
7Other Services (except Public Administration)
125 3.3%
$38,514
8Transportation and Warehousing
122 3.2%
$44,092
9Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services
105 2.8%
$60,887
10Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation
59 1.6%
$22,477
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Key Takeaways
  • Largest sector: Manufacturing employs 1,204 workers (32% of tracked sectors), at an average wage of $89,636.
  • Economic scale: Regional GDP of $949M (2024).
  • Wage stratification: Manufacturing averages $89,636 while Accommodation and Food Services averages $16,003, a 5.6x spread in the same local economy, with implications for workforce development and talent strategy.
Source: BLS QCEW + BEA Regional GDP.
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Industry Concentration

Location Quotient measures regional specialization vs. national average. LQ > 1.0 = concentrated.

Location Quotient Analysis

Concentrated Industries
Source: BLS QCEW · 3-digit NAICS sub-sector · Location Quotient vs. national employment share
Same source as the Top Industries table above, sub-sector view surfaces the specialization the supersector view masks (e.g., Plastics & Rubber Manufacturing inside the Manufacturing supersector).
Gasoline Stations and Fuel Dealers
2.80x
142
Nursing and Residential Care Facilities
2.70x
448
Wood Product Manufacturing
2.26x
44
General Merchandise Retailers
2.12x
331
Heavy and Civil Engineering Construction
1.83x
105

Cluster Depth

Source: BLS QCEW · Sub-sectors with LQ ≥ 1.5 indicate genuine cluster concentration
Dominant Cluster
Retail Trade Cluster
Coherent grouping of concentrated sub-sectors, signals supply-chain fit for site selectors
473
Cluster Employment
2.80x
Peak LQ
Concentrated Sub-Sectors
Gasoline Stations and Fuel Dealers
2.80x 142
Nursing and Residential Care Facilities
2.70x 448
Wood Product Manufacturing
2.26x 44
General Merchandise Retailers
2.12x 331
Heavy and Civil Engineering Construction
1.83x 105

Attraction Opportunities

LQ < 0.5 with ≥ 50 employed, realistic diversification targets. Source: BLS QCEW
0.20x
Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services
105 employed
0.39x
Specialty Trade Contractors
98 employed
Key Takeaways
  • Top specialization: Gasoline Stations and Fuel Dealers concentrates at 2.80x the national norm.
  • Cluster depth: 5 sub-sectors register LQ ≥ 1.5, suggesting an interconnected industrial base rather than reliance on a single employer or sector.
  • Attraction whitespace: 4 sub-sectors register LQ < 0.5, candidates for diversification or recruitment depending on labor-market fit.
Source: BLS QCEW sub-sector Location Quotients.
Carroll County's Top Sectors by Workforce Share
Each rectangle's area is proportional to that sector's share of total private-sector employment across all NAICS supersectors. Hover for exact employment.
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics QCEW 2025 Annual · Private sector, NAICS supersectors

Housing & Affordability

Census ACS · HUD Fair Market Rents FY2026

Housing Overview

Source: Census Bureau ACS 2020-2024 5-Year Estimates · Tables B25001, B25077, B25064
$142,400
Median Home Value vs 2019
$755
Rent/Mo
74.5%
Owner-Occ
11.9%
Vacancy
2.7x
Home Value to Income Ratio - Affordable
vs. ~4.1x national average

HUD Fair Market Rents

Source: HUD · Fair Market Rents FY2026
Studio
$724/mo
1 Bedroom
$746/mo
2 Bedroom
$925/mo
3 Bedroom
$1,151/mo
4 Bedroom
$1,480/mo
30% of monthly median household income (~$1,295/mo) · rents above this line are typically considered cost-burdened.
Key Takeaways
  • Affordable market: Home value to income ratio of 2.7x is well below the ~4.1x national average; supports talent attraction and family settlement narratives.
  • High home ownership: 74.5% owner-occupied; rental supply may be tight for incoming workers.
  • Elevated vacancy: 11.9% vacancy rate. In resort, rural, and seasonal markets much of this is recreational/seasonal (second homes), not available supply; confirm the vacancy-by-reason split before treating it as a redevelopment opportunity.
  • Affordable rent tiers: 4 of 5 HUD Fair Market Rent bedroom tiers sit below the 30%-of-median-income affordability threshold (~$1,295/mo).
Source: Census ACS housing tables + HUD Fair Market Rents.

Workforce Pipeline

Labor force readiness, commuting, and workforce composition

Labor Market Overview

Source: Census ACS 2020-2024 · Tables B01001, B23025, B08303, B08301
16,538
Working Age (18-64) vs 2019
Mean Commute
26.2 min
Work From Home vs 15.1% national
5.9%
Prime-Age Employed (25-54)
74.5%
of prime-age population
Labor force participation rate: 55.1% of working-age population (18-64) 55% Participation
▲ vs 2019

Education & Talent Pipeline

Source: Census ACS 2020-2024 · Table B15003 · College Scorecard
Bachelor's+
18.1%
HS Diploma+
89.2%
Regional / Statewide Institutions
Total credentials awarded
26,245/yr
The University of Tennessee-Knoxville 8,049/yr
University of Memphis 4,862/yr
Middle Tennessee State University 4,677/yr
East Tennessee State University 3,604/yr
The University of Tennessee-Chattanooga 2,551/yr
Tennessee Technological University 2,502/yr

Aging Workforce

Source: Census Bureau ACS · Derived from age & employment tables
23.7%
55-64 of working-age population (18-64)
Elevated retirement risk, above the 20% threshold. Succession planning recommended.

Workforce by Occupation

Source: Census ACS 2020-2024 · Table C24010 · Civilian employed population 16+
Management / Professional
30.1%
Service
15.9%
Sales & Office
18.3%
Construction / Maint.
10.4%
Production / Transport
25.3%
Bars scaled 2× for visual differentiation; percentage labels show actual share of 11,725 employed workers.
Key Takeaways
  • Succession risk is real: 23.7% of working-age residents are 55-64. Plan for retirements over the next decade and pair attraction strategy with talent retention.
  • Low participation: 55.1% labor force participation suggests untapped capacity; workforce development programs may unlock supply.
  • Talent pipeline: 6 regional institutions feed the workforce; the top three combined produce 17,588 annual credentials.
Source: ACS workforce data and College Scorecard.

AI Insights

AI-assisted analysis, drawn from 9 federal data sources

Sample AI Insight

Carroll County shows emerging potential for gasoline stations and fuel dealers attraction, with a 2.80x concentration and 142 jobs in this sub-sector. Near-term succession risk is elevated, with 23.7% of the working-age population within 10 years of retirement age.

The interconnected base across gasoline stations and fuel dealers, nursing and residential care facilities, and wood product manufacturing creates supply-chain attraction leverage rather than single-employer risk, a structural advantage for industrial recruitment.

Industry Shift Analysis

Manufacturing Automation Risk
High
Healthcare Growth Forecast
+4.2% CAGR
Remote Work Migration
67/100

Prospect Match Scores

Advanced Manufacturing
92/100
Life Sciences
84/100
Data Centers
71/100
Illustrative example

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Data Sources

Updated from official federal government data.

Census ACS 5-Year2024
BLS QCEW2025 annual
BLS LAUS (via FRED)2025 annual
BEA Regional GDP2024
Census CBP2023
HUD Fair Market RentsFY2026
FCC Broadband Map2024
USAspending.govFY2026
College ScorecardAY 2022-23

Frequently Asked Questions

Key economic and demographic figures for Carroll County, Tennessee, from federal data sources.

What is the population of Carroll County, Tennessee?

28,641 (U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-Year Estimates).

What is the median household income in Carroll County, Tennessee?

$51,787 (U.S. Census Bureau, ACS 5-Year Estimates).

What is the unemployment rate in Carroll County, Tennessee?

4.2% (2025 annual average, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, LAUS).

What is the GDP of Carroll County, Tennessee?

$949M (U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, CAGDP1).